These Are The TWO Stocks I'm Watching for Monday... transcript

What's up, everyone? All right, in today's episode, I'm going to break down my watch list for Monday morning and the game plan for the week ahead. Last week, we saw three of the biggest percentage gainers of the entire year. On what was it, Monday or Tuesday, we had a 1,000% intraday gain. Then, we had a 2,200% intraday gain. And then we had another 1,000% intraday gain on Friday. A,000%. In other words, a stock going from $1 to $10 or $2 to $20 or $3 to $30.

I mean, we've seen several of, you know, that proportion move. All of these have been going into the teens or 20s, if not higher. These are huge moves. But what's the common denominator between these stocks? Chinese and no news. That is tough. So, this feels like a little bit of a backwards market where a stock that is a US company that has what is legitimately good news may end up actually getting ignored right now because there's more opportunity and crazy potential on a Chinese biotech with no news.

Strange, but that's the market we're in. And I got a little frustrated with this towards the end of last week because I had some trades on some stocks that had good catalysts that I really felt were going to work, but they didn't work. And I felt like it was because not because the actual stock wasn't good or because the catalyst wasn't good, but because traders were waiting for the next Chinese stock with no news to start popping up and so they weren't going to waste their buying power and, you know, waste their ammo on something with news or something that was a US company.

Okay, so that's a little frustrating, but you either, you know, go with them or you, you know, trade with the crowd or you just say, you get stubborn and you say, "No, I'm not going to trade anything that's a foreign listed security moving up with no news." A lot of these are going to go up a,000% and within a week or two, they're going to be right back down at where they came from, if not lower. But going up a,000%, that's volatility.

Volatility is an opportunity. So, should I really just sit here and get stubborn and say I'm not going to trade that? I don't think that's the right move either. So, we're going to jump on to the screen share. I'm going to break down the watch list. Uh, as it turns out, last week was the best week of the entire month of July, finishing up over $103,000 here in my Roth IRA. This doesn't include the small account challenge uh progress, which is separate from this.

So, last week was a good week. I had a no trade day on Tuesday. The week before I had a no trade day on Thursday and Friday, but you know, Monday of this last last week was really good. Uh Tuesday we ended up having that 2,000% move. I didn't even trade it, but I still, you know, I was able to capitalize the next day on continuation and the FOMO that was in the market on other stocks. So, a really good day on Wednesday and then Thursday and Friday kind of slowed down a little bit.

So, that's where I'm sitting right now on the month. Now, $214,000 for July. We're going to go to um monthtodate and just look at the uh the metrics just a little bit deeper here. So this month here uh so average accuracy uh is only 59 1.5%. That is lower than my all-time average which I think you saw back here at 68%. 68.5% that's over the course of 10 years. If we just did uh last year just for instance last year was 71% so a little bit above average last year.

Um, this year is probably around 68%. But this month right here, um, yeah, a little bit lower, but the average winners are 6,800. Average losers are 2500. So, I'm doing a really good job maintaining a solid profit to loss ratio where the average winners are much bigger than the average losers. Um, profitability by day of the week doesn't really make a big difference on a short period of just a couple weeks because that can't really get much from that.

But profitability by price is interesting. between two and five and between five and 10 and I haven't really done very well between 10 and 20 or higher. Once they get a little higher price, they become a little bit more difficult. Not really taking trades uh with small size. If it I am, it's because I'm not that confident. So, pretty much waiting waiting and then taking the confidence to go in with bigger size um on the instruments I've done the best on.

We can see, you know, had a couple that I lost on. Most of them, however, I've done well with uh stocks with more than 25 million shares of volume, stocks with at least 3x um the 50-day average, but doing well on uh the 5x, which makes sense. So, this is kind of the um and then if we well, I don't have the ability to sort it by the company or country of origin. Um but what I think you would notice is that doing well on foreign listed securities.

So Friday we had stack a Chinese stock fossil fuels doesn't matter because it's Chinese and it has no news. So basically I mean it's kind of crazy but in a way does it even matter what the company does? I don't know. I don't know if it does. I mean this the company clearly doesn't even have news. So what does it matter if it's Chinese if well it has to be Chinese it seems but it doesn't matter if it's biotech or something else.

Now, I thought biotech did kind of matter earlier in the week. It was biotech stocks that gave us our two big moves on uh Monday and Tuesday and and Wednesday or whatever those uh days were. Uh but then this energy stock on uh Friday ends up going, as you can see here, from a low of what was this a dollar a share all the way up to a high of 12 bucks. So, incredible move. Many of you guys who trade in the afternoons, I saw the post that you did really well on it.

And this is the incredible thing where you sort of grinding higher, halted, pulled back, grinding higher, halting, pulling back, grinding higher, grinding higher, halted up, dipped down, halted a second time at five, and it resumed at $8. Dip and rip into a second halt at 950. Then it resumes 10, dip and rip up to 12. Then halted at $12, resumes at 10, and halts down at 8. bounces here, opening around 7, halting back up at 8, then opening, selling off, then rallying back up and into after hours, but not getting back to that peak.

This is a little interesting that we halted up once, twice, and three times, and we didn't open high and halt down. We halted up at 12 and then we opened at 10. That's a little scary. That's the challenge of being in with a halt is you could open higher like you did here from 5 to 8 or you could open lower like here from 10 to or 12 to 8 coming back down. So I prefer trading pre-market where you don't have to worry about these halts.

And I also like trading um well in theory I'd be fine with trading after hours because there's no halts as well. But I don't typically trade during that window. Here we had uh DFNS that squeezed from 450 to 750. Interestingly, a US company, aerospace and defense. Um there there was no catalyst on this um on Friday as far as I saw. Now that was No, that was on the 20th. So um I don't think there was actually even any news on this on Friday.

Um but again, it made this big move. It had a recent reverse split back here. Um this was just uh on what was this? July 21st. Yeah, the 21st there. We had the reverse split, some volume, then it pulled back. Now it's kind of rallied back up. But this is the high on the 21st. So we're kind of still, that's not a very good line, but kind of, you know, a little bit of an issue there. Maybe I would say this is probably worth watching at, you know, 4:00 a.m. tomorrow morning, early traders.

But I don't know by 7:30, you know, a coming into towards the open if this will still be in play. Uh, yes, it has a lot of room at the 200 moving average, but it's a little off the theme being that it's a US company. Now, I could just double check that because sometimes these companies get labeled uh incorrectly, but no, New York, New York. So, US, it's a US company. All right. So, um, so we're just going to start by looking at the after hours top gainers scanner right here.

So, we had DFNS. And by the way, those of you guys that want to check out the twoe trial, during the trial, you get access to all these same scanners. You can make your layout however you want. You save it. you log in each day and you can be using the charts, the scanners, the news feed, and of course you can be uh listening to my broadcast while I'm trading each morning. But I want to remind you as always, of course, you know, trading is risky.

My results aren't typical. So you should always manage your risk by practicing in a simulator before putting real money on the line. And you should never try to blindly follow anyone, not me or anyone else. It won't teach you self-sufficiency. If you blindly follow, number one, you'll always be behind whoever you're following. So your winners will be smaller and your losers will be bigger. But secondly, you'll be completely dependent on that person.

I want you to become a self-sufficient, independent trader. Now, I'm sharing with you the strategy that I trade every day because to me, it makes the most sense. It's the most logical way to approach actively trading the market. Looking for the leading gainers that have high volume typically that have a news catalyst, but that's an exception right now. And then looking for the pullbacks to ride the momentum, buying the dips, buying the dips for the pop back up.

So, anyways, check out the twoe trial if you'd like. uh link is pinned at the top of the comments. So, DFNS um BIYA uh this one we traded a little bit. It was on the watch list actually last Sunday. Um it had this uh sort of big move uh on Friday, then it continued into pre-market on Monday. So, that was um that that was a good call there. Uh but not interesting here today uh going into Monday this week. OMH CNET not interesting.

Not interesting. OMH, that's just a deadcat bounce off the low. Not interested. Um, LSE, this one, no volume really. Jag X, there have been times where this one worked, but it's too cheap. It's not moving. CLIR, I don't see anything happening on that one. Um, so for after hours top gainers, DFNS really is the only one that's worth considering. So, that's the first one on the watch list. Now, let's look at stack. Um, this one obviously made a big move as well.

Would it be worth watching going into Monday? So, on the daily chart, stack was total uh blue sky setup, all-time highs on Friday. Let's just check DFNS on that. So, DFNS had a lot of room to the 200, but it's far away from blue sky. I just wanted to confirm that. Uh, stack, yes, it is blue sky. Um, it's possible you could get more uh opportunities on this. Some traders got it on Friday, but a lot of people aren't still trading on a Friday in July.

So, they'll sit down Monday morning the way I will, and they'll think, well, could this get back to 12? And so, what levels would need to break in order for that to happen? And I would generally say, uh, I look at the the most recent high um sort of of a little move, which was about 645. And then above that, we've got this teeny little candle right here at 674. And then all of a sudden you've got a little bit of a sort of window there up towards 1140.

So if this was able to reclaim 674 then I would start to look for this move higher. Maybe there's actually a little candle right there around 730. Um but you do start to get into a window there with room back to 1140 and then over 1140 you've got room back to the highs. So um those are levels that I would watch. I would consider this to be a pivot. we're stairstepping down, but if we break over that level, then suddenly we're starting to make moves higher.

Um, you know, is that going to happen? I don't know. ZCMD surprised us last week. Um, if you recall with the headline of, let's see, no um it was it was right here. Um, the offering drops to a dollar, you know, 50, then squeezes up to eight, but then comes back down. Just crazy. So, I don't typically expect after a big move that we'll actually get back to the high. Um, but you know, it's happened before and we're in a market where the unexpected uh things seem to be happening.

So, keep an eye on stack going into Monday as well. Just, you know, keep it on a side chart. APUS, I see that one. Pharmaceutical, I'm not really sure what was going on there, why it gapped higher. Um, almost looks like it had a split, but there was no volume on it. only 27,000 shares. So, we'll have to see what that's uh doing on Monday. Not really sure. Uh so, LVWR, this one 23 million share float, 103 million shares of volume.

Wouldn't really watch this for continuation, although I could see um you know, why some might be interested in it above. You sort of got this descending resistance line in here. um as you can see. So you're below that and the pivot on this would probably be that high right there of $1.77 and then that kind of gives you room up to this level here of 209. So I could see that maybe being something some traders would look at, but to me the price is a little low, the float's a little high, probably not going to work.

WLDS Israeli company squeezed uh up into the close then pulled back. Typically hasn't been an easy stock to trade. has a few higher volume red days. I just don't think it's gonna work. B IOT, this one from Friday, um big move, sold off. It was day one, uh of trading, lots of halts, but not a lot of liquidity, very light volume, so no trades there, no interest really. Uh JM, this one, you know, I don't know. I mean, I thought we were going to pull away up here on Friday.

It didn't end up happening. So maybe in in the coming days, but I kind of don't think so. VIVK, this one's pulled back probably a little bit too much. Uh descending resistance, but on the other hand, almost maybe ascending support here, although not not sure that one's going to work either. Ray and Yai, not sure about these ones. They don't look that interesting. So I would say the two to watch going into Monday is are stack and DFNS.

And um you better believe that I'll be watching this top gainer scanner bright and early looking for the leading gainers. And then if we've got some nice momentum, jumping in on pullbacks and riding those waves higher. I am in a place right now where I'm trading less, but when I take a trade, I am stepping up to the plate with pretty big positions. So I'm being aggressive to capitalize on opportunities, but I'm focusing on quality over quantity.

So in total this month, um let's see where did my metrics go. Um see how many trades I'm at for this month. only 71. We just checked to see last year at this time um how many trades I taken. 358. That's crazy. Uh granted, I had made definitely, you know, uh four times as much money, but uh we were in a pretty hot market there. Uh but nonetheless, um you know, that's that's a it's five times, six times as much as many trades.

So, um that taking fewer trades right now in part because um the market has been a little bit little bit trickier like when something works it can work really well but then there's a lot of false starts and I don't I try to avoid getting chopped up in those false starts and just waiting for something that I think actually can pull away. So trading a little bit less um that's you might think well gez you're trading less and you've made you know 80% less money.

This is really a factor of um the market is not as strong as it was last year at the same time. Same with June. Last June was incredible. This June decent but not as good. Um and that's fine. I mean that's just the way the market is. It's the eb and the flow. Towards the end of last summer, we had um the price of Bitcoin rolling over and uh you know, Bitcoin, it's a speculative asset class. Um you know, of course, traders um traders who are investing in Bitcoin also invest in other speculative assets um including small caps.

So, this was sort of the peak in August on Bitcoin of last year and it's been all downhill since then. Um if we did like the fiveyear, you could see like the big kind of move here. We had this incredible run from end of 2024 into 2025. Um, all the excitement of the new administration. A lot of crypto traders are really excited about that. Um, and now kind of that catalyst is is is done. And so now we're on the backside coming back down and people are speculating if we're going to hold this level or if we're going to, you know, break and go lower.

Um, and the reason I bring it up is because this is one of those things that's kind of the rising tide that lifts all ships. When all the crypto uh investors and traders are rolling in money, then they start spreading that money on other speculative asset classes like small cap stocks, throwing a million dollars on this stock, a million dollars on that stock, and so you just have more volume. But when crypto is down, all the crypto bros that, you know, are spending freely when the market's hot are, you know, kind of tightening their belts a little bit, so to speak.

And so we do often see that there's a correlation between um the strength in the crypto markets and the and the um degree of volatility that we see in the small cap market, which is interesting. I don't trade crypto myself, but I'm aware of that correlation and I do pay attention to it. So, you know, crypto rolling over towards the end of last year uh was kind of the beginning of small cap slowing down and this year uh has been slower until um you know, we got this nice um nice move uh in a number of stocks in June and it has been continuing in July uh but not to the same extent that we had last year.

Nonetheless, we're still uh I would say off the lows of small caps. We probably bottomed in like I don't know maybe it was March um or April when things were really really slow. U and now things are definitely improved since then which is nice. So um yeah I'm trying to focus on being patient and waiting on the sidelines but when I see something that looks good boom jumping in and getting aggressive. So that's the game plan for uh for the week ahead is to continue that uh strategy that practice.

And so I hope to see you guys tuned in bright and early tomorrow at 7:00 a.m. If you guys do the twoe trial, if you start tonight, then you can sign your market data agreements and then 6:30, 7:00 in the morning when you log in, all your market data will be running and you'll be able to have the charts and the scanners and everything running. So, um, I hope you guys check that out and I'll see you in the morning. Now, reminder, as always, trading is risky and my results aren't typical.

So, please manage your risk by practicing in a simulator before putting real money on the line.