🔴LIVE DAY TRADING | GOLD & NQ | VOLUME + ORDERFLOW | EPISODE 103 | GC / XAU USD - NQ / NASDAQ transcript

Yes. What's happening my friend? Welcome back episode number 103. Keep going our journey. Hope you guys are all doing great. Good morning. It is time for the discussion around gold and you could see it yesterday already, right? We're talking about it already. How it's going to push up most likely how it's becoming dangerous. Well, here we are. Major push up to the upside here. Can't wait to talk about it actually. All right.

And also about the next current momentum of gold because if gold goes, it goes. Okay. If gold goes, it goes. You guys are already fully aware of that, I guess. Okay. Good morning my friends. Good evening wherever you're from. Let's make it uh let's make it happen today. Okay, let's see what we have with us in the chat. Leon, my friend, good morning. How are you doing? Jeem, good morning. Jee the man chat a Kevin the man himself.

Yes. Good to see you, Kev. Good evening, Derek. Good to see you. Uh, Tobit, good to see you. Amit, yes. Uh, Zor Zoron, nice. Good to see you. Uh, Silana, good to see you, man. Pravin Jop on Wit, how are you doing? Yeah. Yes, very nice. I'm just checking if I know some people in the chat already or if there are a lot of new guys as well. Some new guys as well in the chat. I can tell. I can tell. I can tell. Anita, good to see you, Justin.

Just Justina Obsession. Yes. All right. Okay, man. Yo, it's time to get to work. We have a lot of things to cover. I mean, gold is in a nice big fat rally right now at the moment, right? We are holding up uh very well and yeah, I don't think that shorting is the the option here to be honest. So, we'll talk about that and we're going to go from there. Okay, my friends. Sounds like a plan to me. Let's make it happen. >> Make it a nice stream on a beautiful Thursday or Wednesday depending where you're from.

And I love I love [music] [music] Heat. [music] [music] Heat. [music] >> [music] >> Tell me what you do without love be without love [music] by your side. Without love be without love by your side. Tell me what you do WITHOUT LOVE BEHIND. I LOVE MYSELF. [music] I love [music] I love [music] >> [music] >> Okay. Okay. Okay. Okay. [music] >> I have a very important very important [music] update and this is actually a statement.

Yes, a real statement. Right now I just received a message. Okay. An important message I must say from my brother from another mother Andrea see me. Okay. And this is actually very important right now. I heard I heard something extremely important that they start a boxing a boxing show or a championship for traders or for trader influencers I could better say. Okay. And who's on the main card? It is Rya Banks, the man himself.

He says, "Bro, please go beat the [ __ ] out of these guys." I've said, "No problem." Of course. How can we not do that? Okay, so the question is right here. One of trading's biggest names is officially stepping into the TFC, the Traders FC Dubai December 2026. Who is crazy enough to take the other corner? Hey, low, I'm here, my friend. I'm here. Official statement. Okay, I'm here. Streamer versus streamer. Okay, we're getting similar views.

Yeah, I don't see any reason why we couldn't do this. Uh, why why we couldn't make this happen. I think you're the same weight as me. I mean, we're probably the same weight. I think it's it I think it's the same. It should be. So, hey, if you hear my message, you know what to do. Uh, I will let the chat do the rest of the work. And, uh, you know, I'm ready. December 2026. I would I would do that. I will do that. I will be there 100 100%.

Okay. Anyways guys, let's go back to work. Let's do what we do best and that's uh [music] growing our accounts. Yes. Okay. Welcome back. Anyways, I just wanted to get this out, my man. I've been waiting for this all all day. Make that work to make that statement. Okay. Anyways, [music] I'm ready. Uh gold. Okay. Hey, what did we talk about yesterday? Uh, super important actually, right? We talked about the fact that uh yesterday, okay, I was thinking about shorting it, right?

Do you know what happened? It did play out eventually, but I was like, nah, this is this is not good. The market is setting up for something bigger. The market is setting up for a reversal. Okay, you can you can tell all those sellers are coming in and they don't get any reward for all of their actions, all of their put, all of their efforts. they don't get any rewards, right? Look at all that selling here at the bottom.

And we were like, "No, man. This is this there's something happening here. There's something happening here. This [ __ ] is going to roll over and we're going to probably break out and continue to push higher." Okay, so anyways, uh we made a statement about this yesterday also in the Telegram group just in case, you know, a quick update here. I said now that we indeed tapped into a pretty important 12-h hour demand zone.

Okay, either we will get rejected at the V and come down again or [snorts] we're going to break above the very high. So if we close above the very high today, I will look for longs and target the previous daily PC instead. Right, the previous daily PC was actually at the 70 area. Okay, a closure above the high also means we get accepted above the previous daily low. So that's bullish. Okay. Now what happened? Price did that.

It created the breakout above the very high and it shoot to the point of control. Boom. With full conviction. Okay. So that was actually a really big confirmation that the market was actually setting up for the reversal. And um yeah, I mean it was just in my opinion not the best move yesterday to try to get into a small short. even though if you held it, it would have still played out uh a little bit, but it was really trying to squeeze the bottom and I could already sense that.

Um so yeah, I'll take that responsibility on me right there. But yeah, we knew why. We knew why it was setting up for this and clearly it was just a reversal play eventually during the New York session. I could better say London actually first um because we already broke out beforehand, but the New York really did it right. the New York really made that difference. Uh the break above the value area low the day before and of course the volume that came in right we knew how it was kind of distributed.

So right now at this current moment, okay, if you look at gold, right, and we just take where we are right now, we just start on the higher time frame. We bounce from a 12-h hour demand zone, okay? Which you can see right here. This is that rally base rally type of confirmation, right? That that green a red green candle. Uh and you can see actually that if you mark out our zone that we have our demand. Now, this is real demand.

If you want to learn about supply and demand, I actually have this in my book as well written. Okay, it's not only about the volume profile. You can also read it in my free ebook and everything. We talk about supply and month as well. Just as important on the higher time frame as for us the lower time frame volume profile by the way. So it's not just only about [snorts] um you know the volume profile. I use the volume profile on the lower time frame supply on the higher time frame.

Uh but it also shows you the Y. Okay, we saw we call it the AMT or the option market theory. You have that reaction here and we have resistance there. So we have supply there at the same time at the top as well. Okay. [music] So we're in between these two zones. We noticed that when we tapped into this zone at the bottom then we started to see a lot of selling. Now sellers stepped in on the lower time frame right aggressively they filled and we broke out.

Now okay that was a trade uh to the upside that happened later in the New York uh in the New York session. A lot of people in our group actually took it. So that's very good to see. But um right now what is next? Okay. Well, number one, we have a full trading day again and we can use the same tool, the fix profile right around here. Okay, [snorts] we take it from the left to [music] the right. And what do we see? What is the first thing that you guys notice on the left side of the chart?

Let me know. Okay, it's pretty obvious [music] to me if you ask me right now. It's a standard It's a standard setup. Okay, it is a standard setup right there. Yeah, that would be actually crazy if you do that. Yes, the low volume note. Okay, we have that gap here. Okay, we have one sitting right below and we have a huge gap, a huge zone. Okay, now you can fine-tune it by always taking the bottom of that area which will be the ideal of course if you come back down.

But the most important thing is if the gap is a bit bigger. Can also do this on futures by the way. Let's do this on futures. Uh [snorts] wh we take it. Now this was yesterday. Now we have a full day. So let's do that. Boom. Uh yeah, it starts at pretty much this area right here, right? It's pretty much the same zone by the way. It is pretty much the same area. Okay, perfect. Now in that case, pretty much the same zone, right?

We have this area right here. Now what we do is we observe if price gets there right if price would drop into the low V one more time we would to take out that low or something like that and we would see a lot of sellers but no follow through we long it and we would target the 4420 or the 44 yeah 4415 4420 [music] right the next area of supply. Okay, that is one confirmation to look for, right, is to wait for price to tap into that area and really start looking what we call for a low volume, no pullback setup.

It is one of my favorite setups that I take, [music] okay, in trending markets or after an expansion, an aggressive expansion. There are usually a couple things that I would look for and this is one of them, right? It is a low volume node pullback setup. It's a five out of five star rating setup because it is the setup with the highest win rate and the highest risk-to-reward as well on average. Okay, so I really like this type of setups here.

Typing coming into those gaps, pulling back, right? Large expansion here. You guys can see it already from previous structure. Okay, large expansion right there. Boom. Break out of the range. Now, this is what we saw today. A bit of consolidation, right? then some sort of push back lower into a low volume five note area. Okay, this is like in a zone an absorption and then the contation towards next resistance right there.

So it's very similar and we have seen these a lot a lot a lot a lot and we take those very serious. Okay. Um [snorts] that is usually for us a very important moment now. Okay. Um what else do we have? Well, we have that one. We also have the previous day before that of course. Now the point of control of that is sitting right there. Okay. So it's all a line. It's all around this area around the 65 you know the 70 area.

The that's the area where the highest probability setups would come from. Okay. Because this is for sure um yeah one of those levels that that you cannot neglect no matter no matter what the outcome. Yeah. So that's one way. Okay. You will be undervalued when we are there. That is for sure. If price would drop now, we would get to an undervaluation. You want to see an undervaluation because an undervaluation means usually the bottom right here.

Okay. Look at the last time frame. We saw that push down, we were here. Push down, we were here. Okay. So, if you can get that one more time, it will be another confirmation. And pretty much that's Oh, that pretty much sums everything up from that perspective of why that is extremely bullish. Okay, taking it to the current day though. Okay, taking it to the 5m minute time frame. If we mark out the V profile of right now of today and the developing profile, yeah, we are still relatively bullish already, right?

[music] So, we have to admit that we already do have like a a value area or a range right now at the moment of which we're trying to break out of. Okay. Now there is a chance and this is something that we have to really think about and see and look at the order flow right now and say okay what happens if we don't uh pull back what happens if we simply break out to the upside [music] for example right now number one in order for us to happen or to have that we need to close an hourly candle in 18 minutes above that green area right here which is this level oh which is this zone Okay.

And you could tell on the hourly, this is where we have been rejecting every time. You see that every hourly candle we rejected there at 3 uh uh uh p.m. Sorry, 400 p.m. 5:00 p.m. 6 p.m. and now at 8:00 p.m. Okay, we're still getting rejected there. So, no long confirmation yet until we actually have an hourly closure. And then it could mean that we simply would leave the range. We would break out and we would have some sort of momentum play. uh CERC pattern where we just do this right we just break out again it is also possible okay so there are two scenarios that I will be looking for one is the breakout continuation the other one is the low volume note pullback for continuation okay not for shorting only for longs and trade one of those confirmations I guess right either the range breakout or the pullback into the low volume note what do I Clearly the highest win rate possible with highest conviction, highest risk reward, low volume note.

Second plan, breakout. Okay, let me know if that makes sense, my friends. If you guys are all aligned, what is that breakout pattern look like by the way? That is the similar one that we just talked about. Uh it is the CERC momentum. So it's this one right here. Oh, the CRC play. uh the breakout then it's not about the retest by the way it's about the breakout itself right here okay that is the confirmation from the range the range play okay that is also another another setup that I really like by the way it's a great setup by the way both of them are good but of course one is is better like I just know the statistics behind behind that setup I just know how statistically speaking the pullback low five note is the best on because it induces so many people to go and short the market.

Okay, when we break structure to then reverse again. That is actually the whole concept of the low farm no pullback. It's to induce people to reverse and to think bearish and to think about a trend line break or a structural break or whatever it is, right? For us to potentially look for for them to to enter a lot of shorts. And now these shorts don't get the reward they need. and then we go long against that. That's kind of the the low five no pullback setup.

[snorts] Uh but at the same time, we have a pretty clean traction towards that 12-hour supply if we do decide to break out and continue to go higher, right? Hope that makes sense right there. Okay, the chat is on fire. I think Georginelina is doing her best and Isabella, of course, these two stars. They're getting popular. They're getting popular. More popular than our AI trading bot, Kitty. That's for sure. Shout out to Kitty.

[music] Yeah. [laughter] Oh my god, Kitty. What is Kitty doing and we're currently still getting rejected there, right? So that is for sure. No breakout yet. No confirmations yet. You can see it in the order flow as well by the way, right? like um we have that resistance there, we need to really close an hour to come above that would make me feel um very very comfortable for lunch. But anything besides that, it's just um nope.

I'm pulling back towards uh the low volume note of yesterday. Highest win rate. Highest win rate for sure. Sincere up FX. Can you grow a small account, Lorenzo, or do you need money to make money? Um, well, number one, you need money to make money. Okay. Do you need a lot of money to make money or is is your question, does your account needs to be big to make money? Uh, absolutely not. I mean, absolutely not. I mean, like look at what we're doing right now for example, right?

Statistically speaking, we are trying to grow a smaller account. I mean this is this was 6K now it's at 25K right it was at 6K right there now it's at 25K by the way another one another account I have I started this account for fun two days ago okay two days ago I started an account right here uh one second literally two days ago right there it has I deposited an additional 1,000 on that account. Okay. And now it's at $4,431.

Okay. So, this is literally what this is like um 2 days of trading. Okay. So, for the people that tell you that you cannot grow a small account, obviously you have to risk it for the biscuit. If I deposit $1,300, I risked around $200, you know, per trade. So, $300 per trade. So, it's big risk in comparison, right? Um but if you trade something that has a high win rate and you're very convinced that the win rate makes sense and it works and it's tested properly um then why not just risking uh an X amount for me personally.

Okay, of course you have variance but this is also not my complete you know portfolio but um I mean yeah you can grow small accounts relatively quickly right it all depends on your condition on your situation I guess but of course it's totally possible I mean um these are all side quests that I'm doing on the side as well for fun and of course absolutely Does the low volume not load works for cells too? Of course, if the market is dropping really really really really hard.

Um, right. So, you have like a huge breakout indeed and you pull back. There are also low volume nodes, but the overall structure needs to make sense, right? from a perspective of okay where did we came from? Well, we had a big range here, right? We came from the bottom here. We had that like multimon like consolidation breakout. We just came back to take out those lows and now we're going again, right? So, [music] it looks more um more like we're ready for the next leg up.

Is there isn't there a low five note higher from the previous day? You mean this one right there? Um yeah, but we do manage to only look at the value area. Okay, we managed to look at the value area. Okay, if we want to see something like this uh right now breaking out, we just look at our range breakout right here, which we just which we are kind of waiting for, right? We're waiting for the I think the 900 a.m. or the 9:00 p.m. volume to come in, I guess, right?

That's like the only the only way because um I just really hope we close above um this area then this level in 10 minutes from now. Okay, I hope we do. And yeah, I would definitely be patiently waiting for that to happen. So I'm fine with consolidation now. Let let 5 minutes before let's just break out and close above it and then um we have some traction there. So continuation lungs. Continuation lungs. Yes. So we have 1,600 people watching. 200 likes.

That means that 1,300 people have not liked the the the channel. If you guys like this analysis on a regular basis and you like to see me growing an account uh publicly, then I would highly appreciate if you could like the the stream. Thank you. It is pretty high resistance. Is it going to smash it? I mean, if there's something I've learned is that if gold wants to go, it wants to go, right? And also it it counts for both ways.

But yeah, yesterday, look at all those red bubbles here and and no reward. And yeah, the moment you break down above those red bubbles right here, by the way, that then you know if you break above that amount of volume, you know, um reversal is set. The reversal is set. If you combine it with the higher time frame supply in the month, even better. [snorts] Even better. Oh, we're trying. He said 60k small account. I mean, okay, 60k might not be a small account, of course, for everyone.

Um, but what about a 1K deposit now at 4.4K? I mean, it it's not about the number, you know, really, to be honest. It's not about the numbers in my opinion. Okay. Yeah, that closure buff is going to really make a difference though. I just don't hope we shoot up right. I have to wait for the closure though. I have to today. So I hope we we do what we supposed to do. Close and not close too high. I mean fine if it closes high because the ris is still fine.

Um but yeah it can't explode right now if you know what I mean. You know can't explode right now. You can tell how important this level is. Every time we fall back into it, How long did it take you to turn the,000 to 4,000? 2 days. Uh, I mean 2 days. I mean, no, sorry. 31st of August. One, two, three days. >> [clears throat] >> But yeah, these are side quest and of course if this is everything you have, you know, you're you're not going to risk I guess um 20%, right?

Which is high, right? I understand that too. So, but risking you know 10% on an on a on a tested risking 10% on a tested setup that you know has an X win rate that you have been tested throughout throughout you've taken hundreds of those trades already. You know the variance of it. Yeah. Then it's suddenly not as bad as you think it is. So risk is also subjective, right? It really is. It really is subjective. 5 minutes.

Perfect time to get my coffee. Heat. Heat. What is the risk? Okay. What is the risk now? 0.3. That was 0.3 lots. I mean with a maximum 100 pip uh stop loss. Now you know what that means, right? Uh that you cannot take every trade because some trades have a bigger stop. So you can't simply not take that trade. Now you don't have to take all all of the trades. This is another layer. You don't have to trade all the time.

Maybe you feel sometimes you have to be in all the time. No, you don't have to be in all the time. You need to know what you're looking for. That's all. Okay. What are we looking for now? We're looking for the CEC play. The CERC breakout. That's what we're looking for right now. CER C breakout. Oh, there we go. Could this be a sweep if we are stopped out or whatever? Next trade is the low pullback. Like I'm really going to stop thinking from a perspective of um winning every trade, it's going to be about maximizing daily returns.

So, if I have to sacrifice a uh a loss to make another B to tra to take my next win and to outperform my loss, then I'll do that. I'll still make money. It's getting It's getting good though. It is getting better. Hey One minute left. Finger on the finger on the How do we say that? 40 seconds. Yeah, I've been willing I I've been willing to definitely give that a shot for sure. Oh, definitely >> with an hourly closure.

Yeah. 12 11 Okay, let's go. and retest the VR if you want to, but um preferably get to that get to that supply. We have that break. We finally have the hourly closure. Don't do it to us today. Don't Don't flip this. Uh don't turn this into a see me play. No, it looks pretty good. Look at the order flow. It looks pretty decent. I mean, this is that level that we want to hold. and very high of course of the uh of the range itself.

When do we know it's an super duper fake move? If it's uh yeah, clearly break in the other direction and then I have to take another loss to get to get into another long. There is no way I'm going to short today. There is no way. There is no way I'm going to short today. So, that means we have to wait for price to get there to then take another one, but exit earlier, obviously, because you're not going to hold on to your trades.

That's not how it works. But if this goes, we have a good runway until the 15 and this will turn into major support. By the way, this will not be easy to break. This will not be easy to break. Dumb. [clears throat] Why do we prefer the low V pullback? We prefer low V no pullbacks because um the risk reward will always be higher. But in this condition when the market is pushing and you can't force it and you get a closure above the highs, uh yeah, you can't you can't force it.

We still have that nice uh follow through setup. I think it's not it's not the highest reser setup though. But yeah, that makes sense if you already have a have seen a push up higher. >> Lorenzo Price to swap the highs. It didn't actually swap to sweep the previous highs. But again, that doesn't make that doesn't mean too much for me. It's just going to invite a lot of people to sell. Uh, but it did not actually do it.

But look at the flip already on the We're kind of already flipping bullish here. So, there is a lot of absorption happening. Okay. A lot. It's a lot of absorption happening right now at the moment. I want you. I always feel Yeah, buyers really need to show their worth here. >> I mean, I do like the the reaction of course, the closure, the the the retracement into those into those orders right now at the moment [snorts] and the absorption again.

We just need to see some, you know, big fat follow through right now. Stop loss is below. What is Kitty doing? [laughter] >> Kitty, what is the info? Okay. Yes. Come on. That's the follow we want to see here. >> What other job can you work 4 hours and live a great day? Well, I could also fight Rya Banks in the ring. Okay, the Traers FC. I could also do that, right? I need to do some side quests. This is one of them. I want to make this.

No, I literally said, where do I sign up? I'm the guy. Okay, I'm the guy. Shout out to Andrea Seimi for uh setting me up. Okay. What a legend. Shout out to Andrea. But yeah. Hey yo, I'm ready, man. I'm I'm I'm out of my injury and everything. So, yo, it's time to shine. Fortress Fortnite. Okay. All right. Um, yeah. So anyways, this is the the the CERC breakout. Yes, the CEC breakout. I had to actually enter a little bit earlier because the order flow could have actually waited for the very high to be reached to be honest, but that just sometimes does not happen uh after the breakout.

So you have to be a bit aggressive with these setups like these. You have to be aggressive, you know. It's the uh CRC momentum play right here. Okay, the setup playbook trend following the CERC play. Now, we wanted to trade. There are two setups by the way. You have setup one and setup two. Setup one is the breakout. That's the one that we traded here. The breakout break above fair value for a contation trade with strong volume behind it.

Now, that's what we have. Read the bottom on a break above the value, the top of a break below the value. You want participants on the other side. their forced exits raises the odds. Now, where are going to people put their stop losses? Above the previous daily high, right, above the previous daily high. So, this is pretty much what you see. A lot of people were selling stop losses above the previous daily highs. It's the perfect combination.

It's the perfect combination. You know what I mean? >> [laughter] >> So, um, we are now entering. We are now in the trade on the bottom wick right of this hourly candle. Oh, let me just remove a couple that. So, your stop loss can go to your entry. And now we hope with this that we can now target that 12-hour demand zone, sorry, supply zone. which is sitting right here. Okay, it seems like a reasonable target to me 12hour the month and hopefully we can we can see that um yeah that follow through right now right that that's what we're kind of looking for now that immediate follow through towards the uh 15 How could you tell it's not a fake out?

Uh by the order flow, right? The hourly order flow, the hourly closure, the exo charts, you could actually say. and three at >> three if you want. you can put your TP1 because you're still coming from like a uh you can take a TP1 because you could potentially you you we are coming from like reversal. It is a counter trend type of scenario from the intraday perspective. So you can you can take profits if you want to if you want to.

I think we put our stops and break even I think around here. and um full TP 12hour uh supply. >> Yeah, pretty much. Okay, if you want, you can take profits around here. Okay, TP1 [snorts] Uh how do we call this trade setup? Uh we call this the CERC trade setup. CERC breakout trade. There we go. Uh, did you take this on this account? No, I did not take it on this account. I took it on this account and I have other accounts that I trade outside the stream.

Lorenzo, is there any possible of re-entry for us? Um, yeah, you can always wait for the pullback into the F value, find support, wait for sellers to be trapped, and look for a re-entry. That's the CERC, right? The actual pullback trade. That's a setup. That's setup number two, the pullback. [music] Uh wait for price to retest for value, then watch the reaction. So we see whether buyers or sellers step [music] in to protect the position.

An undervaluation or confluence here is is what you're looking for. So that means we need to be undervalued. Now we're overvalued. You see? So that's why we're kind of that's why stop-loss break even um we need to be here on the 5 minute. So, you don't really see that yet. I hope we can follow through here and that the momentum is strong enough. Uh, if you took profits here, then good job. Okay, yesterday was just a bit of a weird uh weird trade in terms of like it did play out eventually, but I could see the sellers and I was a bit like hesitant around those sellers yesterday with like uh the reversal play uh because I saw it coming.

Obviously, we took a long in New York which was amazing. [music] because we were waiting for this all day long. >> But this is textbook, right? This is you can make this uh more uh more textbook in my opinion. where to find those notes. These are private. These are only for the elite now. And the elite is um is closed. You cannot apply anymore unless you already did. But just watch the streams on a regular basis, I guess, right?

Uh, possible setup too. Possible CRC pullback. Oh, pull back. trade. >> But that depends a little bit on a couple things here. Number one, vivation and number two, um, aggressive selling retest of the VWAP. Like there are a couple things to that. Okay, well the VWAP is already there. So it's actually already getting hit on the order flow. So actually move this need to move this high higher actually looking like a fake out now.

I MEAN I MEAN THIS INITIAL WAS already 100 pips, right? 110 pips. And this one the target was 210 pips. It's the perfect song. >> Sorry. One more time. the limit. Yeah, this hourly close was very important. Okay, it looked a bit scary right at the beginning but um you need to trust the process of a trade like that and then it's all about management I guess it is all about management right managing the trade accordingly or appropriately I could better say appropriately Nate, this man is making you guys free money.

You guys don't even have him at 500 likes. I appreciate that. Thank you, man. Yeah, I need to ask for it a bit more because I've been not asking for it at all. And in the last three days, I realized, okay, somehow it makes a difference. >> You know what I mean? So, it does something. So, yeah. Thank you. Appreciate that, man. >> Is Isabella a bot? No. Isabella is not a bot. Okay. Georgina is not a bot. They're real human beings, okay?

And yes, they are what we call females, okay? Women. Okay? The amount of the amount of times I got this asked in the last couple of days, not just publicly, privately, is ridiculous, man. You guys are some of you guys are, what can I say? What can I say? entry. Yeah. Um, what is your entry? 4394. Look at me. I mean, you can see it on my screen. You can see it on my screen, right? Yeah. The goal is to not flip actually right now.

The hourly can like that is kind of the goal here. uh that we don't flip the hourly and that we just continuously push up higher and that we don't flip bearish and then we reach the 15, right? Cuz this is where the 12-hour supply zone is and that's where the macro comes back. The higher time frame comes into play again, right? So it's like supply and demand on the higher time frame, volume profile, order flow lower time frame and then um yeah tested setups in between.

[snorts] We do have a lot of rejection here. So, it might be a return into another setup later. So if there was no profit taking here for some of you guys and just uh break even or whatever then have to watch what happens inside of this area if it does come back. But at the same time you do or you do want to see a little bit of a follow through to be honest. You do want to see the the continuation because you don't really want to break the VWAP right now.

You don't want to close below the VWAB. You really want to we really want to avoid closing below that level. It's not a good look. Okay? It's not a good look if you would close below the VWAP. So, have to be a bit careful with that. But at the same time, we're nowhere near bearish yet, right? We are nowhere near bearish and we do have a lot of buyers still coming in here as well with a lot more volume. So, Yeah, definitely would love to see this holding the VWAP holding and actually reacting and not closing below that.

I don't think it's a good it's a good sign if that would happen to be honest. I'm going to But yeah, it was a clear breakout trade right here, right? It went up 100 pips. management is exactly where it should be and nothing nothing else in my bin 3 minutes for this candle to close. If we close obviously right now uh below it, okay, then we will probably uh face some resistance again with these trap buyers at the top.

That's not a good sign. So that means that the TP1 was indeed the target. Yeah, we got hit right there. Okay. All right. Anyways, was still a 100 pip move overall. Okay, it was still a 100 pip move. Uh yeah, conclusion again, right? Profit taken there was so important actually right there. All right, profit take was very very crucial. We haven't closed though the 15 minute yet. So I do I want to observe where we close it because everything can happen in 2 minutes.

So let's just do that. Let's observe that. Um yeah, I still think if the structure remains bullish and we don't close below the Viva, uh the 15 is a target. Okay. The 15 is a target right here. Yeah. So, why did we decided to enter? Let's go over it. Uh this is a very specific setup we trade. It is a range. We started to break out of the first value of the range. [clears throat] We waited for the hourly candle closure.

The hourly closure happened above the highs here. Okay. And then the volume came in and because it was at 9, you know that usually at 9 a lot of volume comes into the market, right? So the moment a lot of volume comes into the market, we had the closure, we had the pullback and we had that flip. Boom. Right? We knew don't hesitate. Don't don't try to to get the best entry possible in my opin. Just get into the into the moment the hourly candle opens red.

Try to get in and then look for the continuation uh to the uh to the upside pretty much right there. Okay. Look for the continuation to the upside and then [music] uh yeah pretty much trade the follow through until major resistance in a trending market. So if the trend if the trend now is quote unquote bullish even though we're in a reversal scenario right now um when you see aggressive expansion up and a range breakout you can target next higher time for resistance you know so that is the ideal scenario and then it's just watching it okay so if you took profits there good if you got a break even then at least you learned about uh the setup, okay, and how you trade this setup.

All right, so step one, this comes usually after uh strong expansion. Gold is or had a strong expansion expansion before. That is step one. Okay. Then gold formulates a range. Formulates a range. That is step two. Goal breaks out of fair value. Fair value profile. That is step three. Order flow confirmation. [crying] >> Step four, >> target next higher time frame. Resistance >> resistance. >> Next, sorry. Next higher time frame resistance.

Step five. >> Okay. >> That's the setup pretty much. Okay. And it actually works really well. Uh orderflow confirmation is optional, but it is worth it if you have the tools for it. But that's the setup. Okay. Now in a counter trend scenario in a trending market my intraday I usually don't take profits no TP1 uh ranging markets or counter trend kind of scenarios. Uh TP1. That's like the setup right there. Okay. And now uh we were actually heading to the target, I think.

But yeah, that's just management. That's going to happen, too. But let me know if this makes sense to you guys here. Okay, gold had a strong expansion before. This is that expansion from yesterday, New York. Okay, gold then formulates a range. A lot of people are then looking to sell because they think the the move is over, right? And then people start selling. All right, because the move was up and then, oh, we're ranging.

We can't break the highs here, right? We can't break the highs. It's it's starting to come down. We're going to sell. So, it's inviting sellers to enter the market. Okay. Now, then it doesn't do that and it breaks out of the fair value. Step three, then you have a confirmation. Now, that's optional. Okay. That's your long confirmation. Okay. You you do want to like see if you could get a closure with that. So, if it's really before the hourly candle closure, like you really want to wait for the next hourly candle to create a bottom wick because uh sometimes the hourly wick is very steep and it creates a big hourly candle.

So, you don't want to get squeezed out of that. [music] So, when it's before an hourly candle closure, you do want to wait for the candle closure on the hourly. If it's not before the hourly, uh you can enter earlier if that makes sense. You wait for a 15minute closure. Okay. Um, then it's simple. You go back to the higher time frame and you look for the confirmation there. The higher time frame order flow confirmation.

This is optional, but the resistance is usually what you're looking for. Now, what we do is usually we look at supply and uh demand, right? Supply and demand. In this case, demand, supply. That's it. Once you're in supply, you need to be you need to be more patient. You need to wait to see how price reacts there because either we're going to see the reversal and we react from it again or it's going to range manipulate and continue go higher.

This is where you have to be a bit more careful because this is where ranges get formed a lot of times and where you have to trade a little bit differently. But in the momentum it's it's really really textbook clear. Nothing that you have to change around that setup. Okay. All right. So yeah, taking profits is a must. I think it's super important to take profits along the way. Um in this case as well, um for the rest, yeah, I think we covered everything around the setup pretty much.

It's it's really like exactly like what we talk about in our uh in our in our actual playbook right now. At the moment, I don't think there's anything that I missed out on. Nope, I don't think so. Yeah. Okay. Yeah, the pullback trade. Yeah, if you do got the pullback into fair value maybe uh with an other variation was another potential scenario that it could potentially get there. But yeah, um you have then a different uh different confirmation.

You need to be undervalued as well either on the valuation or on the RSI or something like that. if you don't have the valuation index. Halit says, "After two years, yesterday I passed my twostep and I got my master account. This is my first trade in my master account, guys." Amazing. Congrats, my friend. Uh, Malu, your ebook is very helpful for me. I'm testing your strategy so far. [music] Got a 64%. That's good. With a good win rate, with a good win toward ratio.

That's good. Amazing. Almost got a good trade, but tap me out on the absolute lowest tick and rocket it up. I mean obviously sometimes that can happen but in the long term I think if you manage a trade well then you are um if you manage a trade correctly then it is actually good and you will see how many times it flies. Mhm. Where do you get your ebook? This is not in the ebook by the way. This is a separate document.

But the ebook to learn about divine profile is actually uh in the chat in the description. Okay. This is where you can learn about everything about how to draw the vine profile. The CRC is in there as well by the way. Okay, this is it. But today we traded the breakout, not the pullback. Yeah, there's a lot of resistance though around the 10. Okay. Uh, it might have to do with the with the intraday. It might have to do a little bit with the intraday structure.

Uh, not the range itself. It has probably be the it's probably something around there. No, not nothing really. Nothing really that that I see now that I'm like, okay, nothing that I can see. Let's put it this way. Nothing that I can see. Alis, do you have any training program? Nope. Yeah, I have some free videos in my um in my Telegram group. So, if you want to watch them, you need to go scroll to my Telegram a little bit.

You can find it right here. Okay, we have the following. Oh, I need to remove this one by the way, the gold hybrid trading. Remove. There we go. [snorts] Um we have a couple videos in here that you can watch. Okay. Not this one either because this one maybe causes some confusion as well. This one level lesson three. Okay. Lesson three. Lesson two low volume notes and lesson one. Okay. Timebased versus structured based volume profile.

So you can learn about that. Okay. These are free. These are private videos on my channel. I will record more content right now at the moment. So, we have still episode number four, 5, 6, and 7 coming. Okay, so there are still a couple more, but you need to be in our Telegram for that to uh receive that. The next video will be uploaded, I think, soon. Okay, for the rest, just follow the streams, download the book, and uh in my elite group, which will be opening up again, I think in Octoberish, mid October or something like that.

Okay. And the guys, I'm very proud of the guys. Price, we're absolutely killing it right now. Absolutely killing it. Absolutely killing it. Look at that. Wow. Using my template, of course. Love to love to see that. Love to see that. Shout to Derek, thanks Lorzo. Honestly, never used it to understand why the market reacts in certain areas. Little did I know it was all about volume. The volume profile is the best. Yes, it is.

It is. It is. It is. It is. It is my favorite tool ever. in trading. I could not trade without it anymore. Honestly, I I I simply could I simply don't know how. I simply do not know how. I could guess [music] it right now. I'm at a stage where I could probably guess it because I've done and drew it so many times. I could probably guess, but um Yeah. You know what I mean? No, that's true. That's true. [music] Absolutely.

Yeah. Okay. Uh so we have news and uh tomorrow, right? I just do want to take this in account or or I do want to uh obviously give you some updates. Tomorrow will be a very important important um day. Okay, we have the NFP the numfarm payrolls and if we click on this right here. Okay. And we look at the data. It was horrible by the way. Horrible numbers in on August 7th. Okay. Today, uh, tomorrow, 7th, 4th of September, sorry.

We have the next one right there. Okay. We have the next NFP. This is huge. Okay, keep in mind it is really, really big. And the reason why I'm saying this is because the following. Okay, if you go back to the 4hour time frame, we go to August 7th. Okay, let's go to August 7th. Where is it? [music] Where is it? Where is it? Where is it? Yeah, right here. Huge volume comes in usually around those days, [music] right? Huge, huge volume comes into the market.

Okay. At every pretty much every time. July 2nd was another one. Okay, I'm just looking at the order flow on the 4hour time frame. July 2nd. Okay. Huge volume. Then we had June the 5th. June the 5th. June the 5th. June the 5th. Right here. Okay. Huge, huge volume here. 81,000 contracts. So, keep in mind that throughout the day, it could be that the market is balanced. Okay. So that tomorrow when the New York or the Asian session starts that it starts to be a bit choppy, a bit uh one directional or sorry two directional that it starts to go up and down, up and down that we're constantly manipulate up and down.

So tomorrow we do have to be a little bit more careful, okay? Uh because of the NFP, the non-far payables that come out during the New York session. All right? I hope that makes sense. [music] So we just do have to take that in account tomorrow because the fact that we are just simply waiting for that um to happen. Okay. Yes, my friends. So, so far Tuesday we had an amazing trade. Yesterday we had uh yeah, a little bit of a shorter uh a shorter close with an analysis after that.

Unfortunately, I can't, you know, be there all day to stream and wait for that New York setup to play out. I traded that in the group. But again, this is a CRC breakout with a TP1 at least and a 100 pip move. Okay. And a very textbook type of setup that I think we we saw today in this uh in this Asian session right here. Okay. We really want to play the textbook setups [music] on this channel. Why? Because I can confirm with confidence that these setups are tested properly.

These setups are tested. These setups are proven. Um, and they work over time. Not everyone, not every trade. They work over time. Okay. And that's all that matters for us right now. All right. Um, I'm going to keep the stream shorter because I don't think that any other opportunity is now relevant to me. Sometimes it happens where the stream just starts and the trade comes and it happens all quickly. But that was it.

That was the setup right here for the Asian stream. We'll keep it a bit shorter today. Hope you don't mind. Okay. The main reason is um we just follow the process every day, right? So [music] looking forward to see again tomorrow. But again, NFP tomorrow. So we do have to take that in account. Okay. uh just want to be ahead of that already and then we uh we go from there. All right, I hope you learned something. Download the book and one more time if you guys uh see this one more time here.

I do want to do this. Let me see where is it. Where is it? I do want to do this. Okay, where do I sign up? I message them. No response. I'm like, "Bro, watch my YouTube. I have I have more numbers. I have bigger views, bigger stream views. Like, what do you need? What do you need to know?" Okay. Anyways, reach out to me. I'm willing. I'm in. Let's [ __ ] Let's do it, my friends. Okay. Thank you guys very much. Have a great rest of your day, man. and I'll see you tomorrow again, same time, okay?

And let's see what happens on the NFP day. All right, take care, my friends. Love you all. Smash the like button. I hope to see you in the next stream. I have to keep it a bit shorter, but I'm see [music] you next time tomorrow. [music] >> [music] >> I [music] want to show you. [music] Yeah. [music] Baby. I'm moving. [music] >> [music] >> Oh, I feel [music]